Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.047140 0.051269 0.055451 0.059999 0.064797 0.069701 0.075087
2024-10-20 0.039715 0.045714 0.052021 0.059117 0.066854 0.075005 0.084217
2024-10-27 0.035099 0.042519 0.050578 0.059918 0.070382 0.081682 0.094749
2024-11-03 0.030608 0.038950 0.048295 0.059426 0.072207 0.086313 0.102948
2024-11-10 0.027363 0.036444 0.046910 0.059681 0.074664 0.091510 0.111707
2024-11-17 0.024957 0.034668 0.046154 0.060475 0.077594 0.097150 0.120928
2024-11-24 0.024010 0.034540 0.047261 0.063401 0.082982 0.105632 0.133470
2024-12-01 0.020902 0.031447 0.044531 0.061496 0.082452 0.107059 0.137694
2024-12-08 0.018785 0.029450 0.043007 0.060926 0.083413 0.110160 0.143829
2024-12-15 0.017028 0.027783 0.041778 0.060612 0.084597 0.113465 0.150165
2024-12-22 0.016433 0.027645 0.042493 0.062745 0.088816 0.120465 0.160990
2024-12-29 0.015499 0.026955 0.042417 0.063810 0.091662 0.125777 0.169785
2025-01-05 0.014502 0.026139 0.042165 0.064671 0.094317 0.130964 0.178594
2025-01-12 0.013018 0.024500 0.040698 0.063850 0.094762 0.133378 0.184001
2025-01-19 0.012218 0.023830 0.040536 0.064751 0.097432 0.138597 0.192921
2025-01-26 0.011069 0.022529 0.039402 0.064262 0.098230 0.141418 0.198842
2025-02-02 0.010245 0.021676 0.038860 0.064547 0.100026 0.145500 0.206359
2025-02-09 0.009644 0.021137 0.038741 0.065394 0.102554 0.150522 0.215077
2025-02-16 0.009668 0.021643 0.040191 0.068485 0.108151 0.159565 0.228980
2025-02-23 0.008431 0.019892 0.038136 0.066478 0.106738 0.159433 0.231125
2025-03-02 0.007633 0.018838 0.037091 0.065877 0.107214 0.161744 0.236392
2025-03-09 0.006960 0.017952 0.036259 0.065547 0.108031 0.164489 0.242216
2025-03-16 0.006870 0.018147 0.037156 0.067798 0.112484 0.172096 0.254409